auf Deutsch
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| U.S. General Election 2016 |
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Chances to win the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election (on 2016-11-08) according to assessment by MH Prognostics:
| 2016-01-08 (Baseline Forecast) | D 44% | R 50% | I 06% |
| 2016-02-02 (after Iowa) | D 45% | R 45% | I 10% |
| 2016-02-10 (after New Hampshire) | D 48% | R 46% | I 06% |
| 2016-02-21 (after Nevada - D) | D 43% | R 52% | I 05% |
| 2016-02-24 (after Nevada - R) | D 41% | R 55% | I 04% |
| 2016-02-28 (after South Carolina) | D 38% | R 59% | I 03% |
| 2016-03-02 (after Super Tuesday) | D 37% | R 60% | I 03% |
| 2016-03-07 (after Super Sat Weekend) | D 43% | R 54% | I 03% |
| 2016-03-09 (after Primaries of 03/08) | D 46% | R 52% | I 02% |
| 2016-03-16 (after Big Tuesday) | D 40% | R 58% | I 02% |
| 2016-03-27 (after Western Week) | D 43% | R 55% | I 02% |
| 2016-04-10 (after Wisconsin) | D 44% | R 54% | I 02% |
| 2016-04-20 (after New York) | D 41% | R 57% | I 02% |
| 2016-04-27 (after Eastern Tuesday) | D 38% | R 60% | I 02% |
| 2016-05-04 (after Indiana) | D 37% | R 61% | I 02% |
| 2016-05-11 (after West Virginia) | D 36% | R 62% | I 02% |
| 2016-05-18 (after Oregon) | D 35% | R 63% | I 02% |
| 2016-05-21 (after Trumps SC-List) | D 33% | R 65% | I 02% |
| 2016-06-08 (after Final Tuesday) | D 33% | R 66% | I 01% |
| 2016-06-30 (G.E. Baseline Forecast) | D 33% | R 66% | I 01% |
| 2016-07-22 (after Republican Conv.) | D 32% | R 67% | I <1% |
| 2016-07-30 (after Democratic Conv.) | D 45% | R 54% | I <1% |
| 2016-08-03 (after "Khan Controversy") | D 52% | R 47% | I <1% |
| 2016-09-13 (after Clinton collapse) | D 48% | R 51% | I <1% |
| 2016-09-28 (after 1st TV debate) | D 63% | R 36% | I <1% |
| 2016-10-21 (after last TV debate) | D 68% | R 31% | I 01% |
| 2016-11-08 (Final Forecast) | D 61% | R 38% | I <1% |
Explanatory note: Above numbers rate the chances that the official candidate of each party will win
the 2016 Presidential election on 2016-11-08, i.e. will be declared to recieve a majority of electoral votes.
Those numbers rate only the chances for victory and therefore are not a prognosis on the estimated share of votes.
D = official candidate of the Democratic Party
R = official candidate of the Republican Party
I = candidate who is officially supported neither by Democrats nor by Republicans